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Projections of Global Mean Surface Temperature Under Future Emissions Scenarios Using a New Predictive Technique

发布人:ljh  |  来自:本站  |  发布时间:2014-05-20 17:43:26  |  点击次数:642
全文下载链接:http://lageo.iap.ac.cn/uploads/140521014416v2g1sonxsz3m.pdf

Abstract  

Using numerical model simulations, global surface temperature is projected to increase by 1°C to 4°C during the 21st century, primarily as a result of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases. In the present study, a predictive technique incorporating driving forces into an observation time series was used to project the global mean surface temperature under four representative scenarios of future emissions over the 21st century.

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