WRF模式中同化地基微波辐射计对降水的影响

 Ground-based microwave radiometers profilers (MWRPs) have been used in numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems and show different impacts on forecasts. Currently, there are around hundreds of ground-based MWPRs used in weather stations over China; however, the application of MWPRs in NWP systems is rather limited. In this work, two MWRP retrieved profiles were assimilated into the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model for a rainstorm event that occurred in Beijing, China. The quality of temperature and humidity profiles retrieved from the MWRP was evaluated against radiosonde observations and showed the reliability of the two MWRP products. Then, comparisons between the measurements of ground-based rain gauges and the corresponding forecasted precipitation in different periods of the rainstorm were investigated. The results showed that assimilating the two MWRPs affected the distribution and intensity of rainfall, especially in the early stage of the rainstorm. With the development of the rainstorm, adding MWRP data showed only a slight influence on the precipitation during the stable and mature period of the rainstorm, since the two MWRP observations were too limited to affect the large area of heavy rainfall.

    摘要

    地基微波辐射计观测已经用于数值预报中, 并对预报效果产生不同的影响。目前, 中国约有上百台地基微波辐射计, 但是观测数据用到数值预报系统的很有限。本文尝试将两台地基微波辐射计数据同化到WRF数值预报模式, 并针对北京一次暴雨过程, 进行同化试验, 结合地面雨量计测量结果进行比对。试验结果比较表明:同化地基微波辐射计能较明显影响降水初期的降水强度和分布, 与雨量计分布更为接近；随着暴雨系统发展, 同化两台地基微波辐射计对大面积强降水系统的影响甚微。

    全文下载链接：Influence of assimilating ground based microwave radiometer data into the WRF model on precipitation.pdf